SVB v. Fedor Gorst

SVB and Fedor should spend more time practising for the Mosconi.

Nobody cares about a race to 50.

We care about the Mosconi
Playing the continent of Europe is always going to be an uphill battle with the current available American talent. There’s a big drop off after Fedor and Shane. And Shane typically hasn’t played well. A lot of years in the Mosconi. On the other hand, Europe has about 7 to 8 guys to choose from that could beat the USA team.
 
Random observation...

At 21-21 the odds to win were Fedor (54%), SVB (46%).

I'm surprised that there was an 8% gap, given their Fargo rates are only 4 points apart; 850-846.

If you asked me to guess what the % difference in chance-to-win, in what would be a race to 29, I would have thought 4 Fargo points would amount to maybe a 51-49% or 52-48% difference.

EDIT TO ADD:

Then, one game later with Fedor ahead 22-21, his odds jumped to 59-41%.

Wow.
Yeah completely agree. I watched from the beginning for about the first hour continuously and couldn’t believe how quickly they were changing. I actually thought the odds were wrong, so I checked with the FargoRate app and they were indeed correct. Surprised as hell.
 
And at the current 25-22, it's 70%-30%!

But note that when SVB was ahead 17-11, it was 72-28 for him. That didn't last long!
 
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