A new measure of tournament toughness: Harmonic Field Strength

Good stuff. Long overdue and high time there is proper method to rate rank tournaments objectively.
I would take your conclusions over the other Mike. No offence to other Mike but he bases his conclusions mostly eyeball, anecdotal on smaller subset of data rather than statistical :LOL:

Sounds about right that Hanoi Open and W8B about same strength as they both have at least 2 dozen 800s players.
Are Peri Open and WPC the strongest tournaments of the year? cos I see both those events have 40+ 800s players
"Eyeballing" I would say 1.W9, 2. US Open, and 3. Peri/W10b.
Curious how the results turn out.

Controversial question- how long do you keep a dead player on Fargo?

Not sure what the fuss is about.
Fargo just has to hide (not remove) deceased players and not show them in list of top 100 players. Matches of deceased will remain in the system- obviously cannot remove matches of deceased. Just like they hide those high 800+ who don't have enough robustness. Just an administrative tweak. These players will remain in the database just like we all will still have an account here in azb after we die. Assuming azb does not close down before we die:LOL:

A new measure of tournament toughness: Harmonic Field Strength

How Strong Was the Field?
Harmonic Field Strength (HFS)
as a New Way to Measure Tournament Toughness



Pool pundits battle about whether the European Open or the World 10-Ball Championship had the stronger field—or which event truly ran deepest in 2025. Or which tournaments should be considered majors.

These debates almost always come down to some version of the same tradeoff:
star power vs. depth — comparing the top few entrants to the overall quality and density of the field.

Panozzo might argue the star-power side this time, pointing out that Filler, Gorst, SVB, and FSR were all in the field of some tournament. Or he might count how many of the World Nineball Tour top 10 were there. Or how many players were rated over 830.

The other Mike might counter that while Panozzo’s event had a few more marquee names, this other field, with more players traveling from Asia, ran deeper and included more of the top 100 or more players over 800 or 780.

Both sides have a point. It’s a good instinct to care about both star power and depth. How hard it is to win — or just to go deep — really does depend on both. It is more likely for a top contender to get snake-bit early when the field runs deep.

Until now, though, we haven’t had a unified way to balance that tension in a single number.

Introducing: Harmonic Field Strength (HFS)

You’ve probably come across some version of the 80/20 rule, also known as the Pareto Principle -- 20% of the people do 80% of the work. Or 20% of the seals do 80% of the barking.

That idea reflects a deeper pattern called a power law, where impact isn’t spread evenly but instead tapers off from the biggest contributors to the many smaller ones.

The same pattern appears in tournament field strength.

  • We care a lot about the presence or absence of the top five or ten players.
  • We care somewhat about the next 30 or 40.
  • And we care very little about whether the bottom half of a 256-player field is rated 680 or 610 — or even whether they’re there at all.
To account for that uneven importance we borrow a concept from economics and physics: A harmonic-style average that naturally emphasizes the top-ranked players while still incorporating the strength of the rest in a balanced way.

What is HFS?

Harmonic Field Strength (HFS)
is a single-number summary, a rating-style average that weights each player’s contribution by the reciprocal of their rank, where rank here comes from a top-to-bottom ordering of the players in the field by Fargo Rating.

  • The 2nd-highest rating counts half as much as the top rating.
  • The 3rd counts one-third
  • The tenth counts one-tenth.
  • And so on — through the top 64 players.
This produces a number that:

  • ✔️ Looks like a player rating
  • ⚖️ Reflects both star power and depth
  • 📊 Allows clean comparison between tournaments
📊 An Illustration: Bali vs Hanoi

Two overlapping events happened in 2025:

  • 🌴 World 8-Ball Championship in Bali (Filler, SVB, …)
  • 🏙️ Hanoi Open (Gorst, FSR, …)
Which field was tougher?

By average rating of the top 16
, Bali is a smidge ahead, by less than a point. But when we reach further to consider the top 32 or top 64, the tide changes and Hanoi looks stronger. The average rating of the top 64 players is 801.3 for Hanoi and 792.2 for Bali. HFS conbines the influence of the top 64 players and reveals Hanoi as the stronger field overall.

Event HFS Score
Hanoi Open 825.2
World 8-Ball 824.6

What About Other Events?

Here’s a taste of what HFS reveals:

  • Eurotour events, Derby City 9-Ball and Super Billiards Expo come out comparably tough.
  • The Battle of the Bull (Roanoke VA) ranks right alongside Bali and Hanoi, surprising perhaps, until you note its proximity to the US Open
View attachment 857670

🏆 Which tournament had the toughest field in 2025?

What about these big ones?

  • China Open
  • Las Vegas Open
  • US Open 9-Ball
  • World 10-Ball
  • UK Open
  • Florida Open
  • World Pool Championship
  • Peri Open
  • International Open
Which one do you think had the strongest field?
What are the top three picks?

We’ll compile the full numbers and share the results soon.
Good stuff. Long overdue and high time there is proper method to rate rank tournaments objectively.
I would take your conclusions over the other Mike. No offence to other Mike but he bases his conclusions mostly eyeball, anecdotal on smaller subset of data rather than statistical :LOL:

Sounds about right that Hanoi Open and W8B about same strength as they both have at least 2 dozen 800s players.
Are Peri Open and WPC the strongest tournaments of the year? cos I see both those events have 40+ 800s players

WNT Hanoi Open 2025, Vietnam, Oct 7-12

Yes, and if you substitute Ko Png Chung for Manas, this team might just be unbeatable.

Even the dream "Rest of the World Team" would probably be overmatched. I would go with:

Fedor Gorst
won 2025 DCC Master of the Table, 2nd at World 9ball, 2nd at US Open 9ball

Josh Filler
Won DCC 9ball, European Open, Estonia Open, Longoni Open, 2nd at Las Vegas Open and Bucharest Open

SVB
Fell a couple of racks short of winning the recent Florida Open, in good form

Neuhausen
Hottest player on the planet right now, with wins at the PLP and Peri Open, and 2nd at the Hanoi Open

Labutis
Won the Hanoi Open and got bronze at the European Open. Very much the man in form.
That team would surely compete evenly with the Asian team. But, I can't see any way that team will be the one chosen.

2025 Reyes Cup, Oct 16-19, Manilla. Team Asia vs Team World

Chua was worst performer on Team Asia last year. Only managed 0.4 points (won 2 Team matches but lost all other matches (1 singles and 2 doubles matches). Seem to choke underperform and cannot handle domestic pressure. (Yes I know he has won WCOP etc etc but this on home soil different story)
To win the cup and get to 11 points, you need each player to contribute average 2.2 points. I think Chua will struggle again this year don’t expect more than 1.5 to 2 points- my guess is Manas and Chua together will contribute total 2 points. That means pressure on Biado, Yapp, Duong to contribute at least 3 points each. Typically 1 or at most 2 players are 3 pointers. 4 points very rare. Biado Yapp are 3 pointers but I doubt Duong can get 3 points against a Team ROW that is much stronger than last year’s Team Europe. Duong is good for about 2 points so Team Asia may fall short.
Gorst underperformed on past Mosconi Cups and will continue to struggle in RC - Gorst at most 2 points. FSR underperformed last year but is on ascendency should be good for 2 points. Shaw is gold-99% guaranteed 3 pointer. Moritz on good run a 3 pointer may surprise with MVP. Sky soaks in such team events he is good for at least 2 points. The difference is ROW just has more players who can step up and help them get to 11 points

This Team Asia same as last year except they replace Big Ko with tiktok wannabe star Manas who isn’t exactly manna from heaven. Team Row only Shaw FSR from last year plus they replace underperformers Kaci, Krause, Alcaide with Gorst Sky Moritz.
Looking at average Fargo ranking- Team Row 18th better than Team Asia 25th . Row players ranked from 3th to 39th while Asia ranked from 9th to 74th . So on paper based on Fargo, ROW is slight favorite this year. While last years Team Asia with average ranking of 11th would be favorite over this year’s ROW.
It will be close. My prediction: Team ROW will edge out Team Asia 11-8, 11-9 or 11-10 :LOL:

rc24 scores.PNG

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