hello said:

I'm fine, dont worry.

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Glad to hear it. Let's make people smile, rather than frown. Makes the world a nicer place to live

hello said:

Ans Archer used a 20 ounce break cue, certainly you should get him into an argument.

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Have quite liked watching people argue with him last year, not sure I can be bothered.

hello said:

P.s.whats your average break speed?

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MR 14-16mph, WPA 20-22mph table depending (I found I took it down to around 16mph when the table was needing it), 8/10ball 16 -18mph is suitable, but I sure like giving it a bit more when I'm feeling good - these are the speeds that I seem to have success with, but not a hard and fast rule for me, and also granted I don't keep track, and this was from some experimenting about a year ago which I posted about previously.

mikepage said:

Lower? Probably
As far lower as 820? More likely no than yes. But perhaps.
As far lower as 780? Quite unlikely we think

One way to think of this is to take someone with a lot of games who is a little under 800 [e.g., John Morra, 794, 22,000 games] and interrogate John's record to see whether his performance for a hot string of 500 games ever pings near 840 or 850. He has 44 of these 500-game chunks, and we might imagine there is one chunk for which he was playing his own A-game, tended to get the rolls, and his opponents tended off their game on average. That's the trifecta of high apparent performance. While John sees 800 about 30% of the time, he never sees 820. 819 (25 above his rating) is as high as it gets.

If Ameer's 500 game chunk that we happened to capture is the equivalent of John Morra's best chunk, that would suggest Ameer's long-term average to be 824 or so. It is more likely he is somewhat above that, though.

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While his actual rating might actually be correct, I don't think comparing him to one person is really relevant. You'd really have to look at all the 500-game strings for a lot of players to see how common it is to play 20/40/60 pts above one's "true" rating. Also, even within one person you can't look at only 44 500-game chunks for a player with 22,000 games played. You'd really have to look at 21,501 different 500-game streaks. Otherwise, maybe games #1-500 and 501-1000 aren't all that high, but who's to say games #312-811 isn't an outlier?

As well, there might be a bit of a rare-disease paradox going on here. How common is an 840-850 player anyways? Even if playing 30-60 pts above one's rating for 500 games is rare, it could very well be the case that some relative unknown crashing the scene with a good run of near-850 play is still more likely to be seeing results well above his skill level than be a true-850 player.

All said, obviously all possibilities are still on the table (maybe he's an 860 player who's underperformed?). But none of the provided analysis is remotely convincing that he couldn't actually very possibly be a sub-820 player.

the tip stays flat on table. I can try and post a vid. Its very slight but I want to try and be as honest as possible. If it was bad I would never try and sale it like that.