Mathematical analysis of Predator format (sets)
- By sjm
- Main Forum
- 32 Replies
Thanks for the clarification and for this nice analysis.
Didn't realize that. I was doing best of 3 sets.World 10ball Stage 1 is best of three sets. World 10ball Stage 2 is best of five sets. Which type of match have you analyzed?
Which Kaci will go further?
so sad this kinda thing happens..... great tips guess I'll move on, You would think that they would at least say they are outa business!Unique told me they thought they were overpriced for one and that they were too hard to contact so they dropped them. Cueman basically told me same thing, no contact.
World 10ball Stage 1 is best of three sets. World 10ball Stage 2 is best of five sets. Which type of match have you analyzed?Out of curiosity, I wrote a program that enumerates all possible outcomes of a Predator Pro Billiards Series match and collected some stats that I thought might be interesting to people.
Assuming:
- Player A is rated 50 Fargo points higher than Player B (odds of him winning any particular rack: 58.58%)
- The odds of Player A winning a shootout are the same as his odds of winning a rack
Here are the stats I've calculated:
- The odds of Player A winning a Predator match against player B: 76.12%
- The odds of Player A winning the match but NOT winning more racks: 3.07%
- The odds of the match going to a shootout: 7.25%
- The odds of Player A winning 9 racks but losing the match: 5.17%
- The average number of racks played for a Predator match between these two players: 13.93
Ultimately, the odds of player A winning such a match are the same as if the players just played a regular race-to-9 match.
Disclaimer: I'm not trying to say that either format is better, I just wanted to have a better understanding of how the formats compare to each other.