A pool player filming until they run a rack (says it's his 10th day)


Look at his first shot.

OK, I think that a lot of us would have a break and run in ONE day if we are actually breaking and trying to run out, over and over, and only have to do it one time.

But if the goal, as I assume it is, is to say, "I will break and run THIS RACK, and this is my ONLY attempt today," then it could take quite a while (or it randomly could still be done in a day or two).

QUESTION:

ChatGPT (for what that is worth) tells me that a 600 Fargo could break and run 5-10% of the time on a 9-foot table.

For a small wager, would you bet a 600 Fargo would need 10 days or less, or 11 days or more to break and run, when they only have ONE chance per day, and the rack is identified in advance. It CANNOT be ten racks in a row on one day. It must be ONE rack/attempt per day.

I would bet the over. 11 days or more.
 
When I was playing good I would go to the basement and if I didn't run the first rack, made myself wait 30 min to hit the next ball.

Often got stuck doing other things and was unavailable after that 30 min.

Punish the error.
 
OK, I think that a lot of us would have a break and run in ONE day if we are actually breaking and trying to run out, over and over, and only have to do it one time.

But if the goal, as I assume it is, is to say, "I will break and run THIS RACK, and this is my ONLY attempt today," then it could take quite a while (or it randomly could still be done in a day or two).

QUESTION:

ChatGPT (for what that is worth) tells me that a 600 Fargo could break and run 5-10% of the time on a 9-foot table.

For a small wager, would you bet a 600 Fargo would need 10 days or less, or 11 days or more to break and run, when they only have ONE chance per day, and the rack is identified in advance. It CANNOT be ten racks in a row on one day. It must be ONE rack/attempt per day.

I would bet the over. 11 days or more.

Break and run rate is extremely dependent on factors outside of skill. Magic rack, 1 on the spot, fresh cloth, 5" pocket Gold Crown? I'd be surprised if a 600 Fargo had a < 10% BnR rate. Opponent racks on an Olhausen with two year old cloth and pockets poorly triple shimmed to 3.8"? Even Filler isn't getting more than 10% on that.
 
ChatGPT (for what that is worth)

Asking Gemini what ChatGPT is worth.

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OK, I think that a lot of us would have a break and run in ONE day if we are actually breaking and trying to run out, over and over, and only have to do it one time.

But if the goal, as I assume it is, is to say, "I will break and run THIS RACK, and this is my ONLY attempt today," then it could take quite a while (or it randomly could still be done in a day or two).

QUESTION:

ChatGPT (for what that is worth) tells me that a 600 Fargo could break and run 5-10% of the time on a 9-foot table.

For a small wager, would you bet a 600 Fargo would need 10 days or less, or 11 days or more to break and run, when they only have ONE chance per day, and the rack is identified in advance. It CANNOT be ten racks in a row on one day. It must be ONE rack/attempt per day.

I would bet the over. 11 days or more.

I think I would probably take the under, but ball in hand after the break makes an enormous difference, as does a magic rack…

I don't think either of us would be stealing with whatever we picked though... 👍
 
I think I would probably take the under, but ball in hand after the break makes an enormous difference, as does a magic rack…

I don't think either of us would be stealing with whatever we picked though... 👍
With BIH I would certainly give the edge to the 600 player to run at least one of his ten turns. Without BIH I will take the over for sure.
 
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