Those odds are totally f'ed, IMO, because they apparently didn't consider the fact that the only time a player plays full-tilt offense is during a ring game. I didn't see Earl's run, but I'm guessing there were several occasions during those 11 racks where playing a safety would have been the percentage play, and the play he would have taken were it not for the runout prize money.
In the 9-ball players meeting at DCC a few years back, they brought up a rule whereby a player could not be beaten without at least receiving one turn at the table. So if their opponent won the lag and proceed to run out the set (7 racks), they would have one opportunity to match the feat. At that time (this was maybe the 9th or 10th DCC) nobody had ever run out a set in that event. Based on those stats, running 7 racks would appear to be a nearly impossible feat, but I would venture a guess that more than half of the players in a typical DCC 9-ball field have at some point in their lives ran 7+ racks. It's just that in a short race tournament, you have to play the percentages, which will usually require playing a few safeties in a set. Not to take anything away from Earl's accomplishment, but this was a major miscalculation on somebody's part, IMO.
Aaron
In the 9-ball players meeting at DCC a few years back, they brought up a rule whereby a player could not be beaten without at least receiving one turn at the table. So if their opponent won the lag and proceed to run out the set (7 racks), they would have one opportunity to match the feat. At that time (this was maybe the 9th or 10th DCC) nobody had ever run out a set in that event. Based on those stats, running 7 racks would appear to be a nearly impossible feat, but I would venture a guess that more than half of the players in a typical DCC 9-ball field have at some point in their lives ran 7+ racks. It's just that in a short race tournament, you have to play the percentages, which will usually require playing a few safeties in a set. Not to take anything away from Earl's accomplishment, but this was a major miscalculation on somebody's part, IMO.
Aaron