Your Brother in Law is in the Pentagon... I sit 10 feet from the guy running the entire war in Iraq, General Petraeus. I think I like my sources better than yours. I was talking to a Colonel the other day, and he was telling about when he went through war college. The instructor asked them how they would go about winning the war in Iraq. This officer said "Put Gen Petraeus in charge!" Everyone else started in about Gen P was "too junior".
Well, lookie here. He's in charge, and things have started changing already. The man is much more hands on then Casey was. Moreover, I think he is much more in tune with what it takes to fight a counterinsurgency war. You really have nothing to go on but your brother-in-law's opinion, but that's okay. Sometimes we jump to a conclusion without knowing the big picture. I don't hold that against you.
But I will say this. Gen Petraeus formed a security plan that has kept the religious observances safe that have for the past few years, been so bloody. If the insurgents can't kill people, can't scare people, they are irrelevant. That's not to say they aren' going to try, and sometimes succeed, but it does make their goal a HELL of a lot harder.
You guys don't hear the briefing where intel comes in of so-and-so (insurgent leader) going on the run and basically "giving up the jihad" because he is so paranoid, because only three people knew about a plan to attack such-and-such a place. Almost his whole team was decimated, and now he is the most paranoid bad dude since Bin Laden.
That's the effect we are having on the insurgents. They don't know who they can trust, and trusting the wrong person can, and does, get them killed. It's a little tough carrying out a complicated plan to blow up 300-400 people when you can't trust the guys on your team.
You have two people on here telling you we are making a difference. Me and easy-e. You have a brother-in-law who has a different opinion.
Maybe people should either seek out the opinion of the people who ARE here or have BEEN here, or listen to those same people they already know, rather than finding someone who will parrot the opinion they already have.
Russ