Lee,
Here's my take. Either way you look at it doesn't bode well for the current situation with the cue market. For a number of years, the market and growth in poolplaying absorbed the number of cues being produced, and the interest in cues (encyclopedia, bluebook, calendars, etc.) spiked. Now there's seemingly a new hobbiest cuemaker on every block. Major influx of good, quality custom-made product. Factor in zero growth in pool here in the states, cue buffs/collectors/enthusiasts honing theirs tastes over time, and now the downward turn and uncertainty of the economy in general (higher cost of living, gas, utilities, etc.) and walla....here we are.
Whether you keep reducing and take less to move them or hold onto them....either way....is bad. Here's why: most guys that are into cues are not multi-millionaires, so cue flipping is part of the gig....moving into something, trying it out, and them out of something to try something else or get something else you might decide you want. Not everyone can hold 50-100 or more cues at a time, that's only a small number. So, when a lot of your average guys start holding them, in essence they are holding the money it would take to buy the next one. Bound to make the market stagnate....
We're to the point now on many, many cues of asking ourselves, just how much instrinsic value does these cues actually have ?? I suspect that many cues have become "overvalued" with this market surge over the past 10 or so years.
I don't know the answer to what the next steps are, but my feeling is that we are now here and it's quite clear how we got here.
Sean