Racking Grief


I wish you wouldn't use my brother Casey's photo for your avatar.

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.I cannot imagine any game where I get to shoot again immediately after the break when I don't pocket a ball... Fleming is doing a similar thing that requires a pushout after the break on the Thursday night AccuStats free feeds.......

The No Conflict Rules are an easy sell. Eight Tri-State Opens have shown that. I won't go over all that again.

What makes the rules so well received is the fact that the shooter is enabled. He shoots when he gets unlucky and breaks dry. The players like that. In Pat Fleming's rules, the shooter is disabled. Take the cue out of his hands. Impossible sell. The players do not like that.

My advice rather than waiting to see what people say: Try it, see what it means, and make your own determination.
 
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Believe it or not, I am tired of posting about this thing as I am sure many are bored reading about it. I am getting bored too.

You did happen upon one topic not previously discussed. Here is the shocker. I have the stats to prove it. A top pro has no better chance of making a ball on the break than a banger (as long as the banger has some kind of stroke and has some kind of strength). In addition, the harder a pro hits the rack, the chances that the cue ball winds up in the desired spot becomes the same chance that it winds up anywhere.

I would bet high that there is not a 5% difference in success rate of making a ball on the break between any 5 pros and 5 of my mediocre league players. If this is in fact true, then you really have got to question why we bother to protect the ball on the break with all the garbage that goes on. Keep the ball and we keep all the crap (decades of it).

When you make a ball on the break, you have not done anything special and it should not be rewarded.

I would like to see your data on this...because with all due respect it sounds pretty far fetched. Lets rack up 50 racks of 10 ball. Shane will break 50 times (and lets throw in Busty, Dechaine, Wu, DeLuna). Take an average of balls made. Take 5 SL5 or below "bangers" from the APA. Everyone gets 50 tries. Are you seriously telling me that there is only 5% difference? Factors to consider: 1) they are getting a perfect rack every time? Because with the Magic Rack or tapped in balls, the pro will make a ball nearly every time after a few tries...the banger won't. 2) Isn't position after the break important? The consistency of the rack is *everything* in playing postion of both the cue ball and the low # object ball.

I have worked VERY hard on my break, and make more balls than many other guys that play at my speed. Last night playing bar table 8 ball, I closed out my match making 5 balls including the 8 ball. I just don't see other people around me doing that kind of stuff too often. They don't *practice* their break. I want to be rewarded for all that work.

Like I said, I would love to see your data. Your claim is at very least dubious.

KMRUNOUT
 
A top pro has no better chance of making a ball on the break than a banger (as long as the banger has some kind of stroke and has some kind of strength). In addition, the harder a pro hits the rack, the chances that the cue ball winds up in the desired spot becomes the same chance that it winds up anywhere.

I would bet high that there is not a 5% difference in success rate of making a ball on the break between any 5 pros and 5 of my mediocre league players. If this is in fact true, then you really have got to question why we bother to protect the ball on the break with all the garbage that goes on. Keep the ball and we keep all the crap (decades of it).

When you make a ball on the break, you have not done anything special and it should not be rewarded.

This is not a good post. I have my own personal rule that I only propose a bet when the sole purpose is to win money. Furthermore, I am not interested in proving someone wrong or proving myself right. My sole purpose is to get people to think outside this little box we are stuck in. The above post is not a good way of doing that. I will be happy to share my stats and what they mean. We have recorded the outcomes of upwards of 400,000 breaks (8,9,10 ball) from players of all abilities. The results are eye opening. For this reason, I am an advocate of deeming the ball-on-the-break meaningless. We are so busy right now with the holidays upon us that I am unable to provide data at this time. I will do so later.

In the mean time, I suggest to anyone who is interest, watch some pro 9 and 10 ball matches on YouTube with a critical eye. You will be surprised at how many dry breaks there are, how many balls are slopped in, and how infrequently the pros actually control the cue-ball.

I propose that we stop trying to fix the problem. Just get rid of the problem. The games will move along much quicker with a lot less grief and pool will make more sense to players and spectarors alike.
 
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