so you're saying your position might be basically the same, or it might have improved. It certainly won't be any worse unless he's fairly lucky and freezes you against something.
I don't like trying to make it, there is a much larger margin for error on the kick safety (like you can hit it too full and have the CB skip to the long rail) than there is for making it AND getting the cue ball to fall in that window on the 8, which is 1 in a zillion.
Give your opponent enough rope to hang himself. Forget that stuff about going down swinging or 'don't sell out on a false safety'. What's more likely? An impossible dream flyer goes in with shape and you win? Or the opponent dogs his shot/safe attempt because he's 6-7 feet away from the nearest object ball?
I think you make a great point Creedo. I think that this is definitely one of those game situations where you play your opponent and not just the table. If I'm playing someone who probably can't get out, then I just want to get the 11 out of there and take my chances. If I'm playing a player who runs out constantly then I probably try to make it. If I am playing someone who can run out an open table then I play the shot I diagrammed above and take my chances that they'll mess up a risky break out.
~rc