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got a few pretty close calls on this one. So kept the video back trying to get a better score. But feel like I won't be able to improve this one before the end of month.

you can judge the 4 close calls by yourself:

2.4.1 - 8:23
3.4.3 - 15:25
4.3.3 - 21:55
5.4.3 - 23:48

View attachment 932338

Awesome job! Shots too difficult to call go to the shooter. I trust you.

I've added your new score and video to the Challenge page.

The last day for others to post entries and claim the money prizes available is Wednesday, September 30. Less than a week remains!

Mathematical analysis of Predator format (sets)

Interestingly, I think this analysis might show the sets format gives the weaker player a better chance (depending on assumptions).
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I modified my Fargo match odds calculator to display the likely number of racks played in a match:


For a race to 9, Fargo difference of 50, the odds of the stronger player winning are 76.52 percent, and the average match length is 14.23 racks.

Compare to a Predator best-of-3-sets match, the odds of the stronger player winning are 76.12 percent, and the average match length is 13.93 racks.

So there's basically no difference in it. The formats might as well be the same from the perspective of either player.

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