How to indefinitely fund tournaments, using economic principles of compound interest

iusedtoberich

AzB Silver Member
Silver Member
In my college economics class (it was just an elective, I'm not an economics major), there was a principle that I feel should be applied to pool.

This principle, with an initial investment by a group or individual, could be used to fund a tournament INDEFINITELY.

The principle is compound interest, or more specifically, Annuities.

The professor gave us an example. If Person A wanted to start a new college scholarship of $1,000 per year, how much would he have to invest upfront? What interest would the investment need to grow at? The goal is for the scholarship to be never-ending, or infinite in years.

In a simple example, Person A can invest $10,000 right now, at an annual interest rate of 10%. If he does this, he can pay out the scholarship amount of $1,000 PER year, EVERY year, FOREVER.

Here is how this works:
The person invested $10,000 up front. He got an interest rate of 10%. 10% of $10,000 is $1,000. At the end of the first year, the money in the account was $10,000 + $1,000 = $11,000. He then withdrawals $1,000 for the scholarship, and the account is back to $10,000. This cycle repeats for infinity, as long as the interest rate stays at 10%.


For an example annuity calculator, go to this site:

http://www.moneychimp.com/calculator/annuity_calculator.htm

You can play around with the numbers, to get an idea given a yearly withdrawal amount, what interest rate and what initial investemnt is needed. Set the withdrawal years to 1000, to simulate infinity.

This is how many scholarship funds are set up, as well as public works projects like roads, buildings, etc.

Where do you get 10% per year returns? That has been about the average return per year of the stock market if you trace it through its entire history.

I'm certainly no expert on this topic, maybe a finance major can chime in. I'm sure getting 10% per year is a long term average, and within certain years, it will be better or worse. But that could be accounted for by building in a factor of safety of the 3 variables: initial investment, interest earned, and withdrawal amount.

How is this relevant to pool?
Company A wants to sponsor a tournament once per year, every year, until the end of time. They want to make it a $2,000 added event. They put up today $20,000 into the stock market. In exactly 1 year, they withdrawal $2,000 to use as "added money" to their yearly tournament.

Yes, the upfront costs are a bit high in this scenario for most pool sponsors. But you have to realize the money will last indefinitely, so the tournament would occur every year.

This is not a pipe dream, this is an economic principle based on compound interest, that the whole world operates on.

The other advantage to something like this is if it were advertised by the sponsors what they are doing, the players would be positive the money was really there, not the BS we have seen from promoter after promoter in the past 20 years.

To my knowledge, no investment principles have been used in pool. Its always been a fly by night operation of funding tournaments with entry fees the day of the event, ticket seat sales the day of the event, added money by the room based on how many hot dogs he sells, etc. Its never been planned out ahead of time like this.

What are your thoughts on this?
 
yeah, 10% is impossible year after year. Well, not impossible, just possible for some smart people who prolly aren't telling :) My local bank is less than 1% right now. It used to be if you had a million bucks saved up, you could live off the interest indefinitely. Good luck with that now.
 
That's a good idea, but it'll require a much larger investment than you're thinking.

The long-term real (that is, inflation-adjusted) return in the US stock market is closer to 7% over long periods of time. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stocks_for_the_Long_Run

Then you have to factor in tax drag and trading costs, which will further lower your return. And as others have said, the return on equities is very volatile. You can't count on a fixed amount of income every year. To do what you're describing you'd need a stable bond portfolio, which in this environment is returning in the range of 0-4% depending on your duration. That's also before tax and trading costs.

Long story short, it works well in theory but you'd never get the returns to make it worthwhile.
 
expenses of a pool tournament

I love this thread because the principle could possibly help our starbving industry.

At least if a "Maidoff" does not get near our stash.

Seriously, the expenses of actually doing the event unfortuately will consume a lot more of the money - there just needs to some kind of sponsorship involved.

And I agree - 10% is tough to find these days, but 5%-6% bonds might be available. So for a cool million, we could have a $50,000 event every year.

Maybe get 10 people to put up $1 million each. And we have a $500,000 tour. Just need to get a real handle on the expenses.

Don't laugh too loud - it has some strengths -

Mark Griffin, CEO
CSI
 
You also have to factor in the inflation rate. Over time, the prize fund will be worth less and less. If inflation rates stay similar to recent years, in 2035 the prize fund will be effectively halved.
 
If you pay out all interest earned each year there is no compounding.
If there is no compounding, there is no protection from inflation (as has been previously pointed out).
Very difficult to find debt instruments that will pay a specific interest rate in perpetuity.
Rates when investments renewed is a huge unknown, so annual funding would be variable, not fixed.
Would work with a successful portfolio of dividend paying stocks and paying out a small portion of annual dividend income, reinvesting the rest.
 
hey iusedto be rich...

In my college economics class (it was just an elective, I'm not an economics major), there was a principle that I feel should be applied to pool.

This principle, with an initial investment by a group or individual, could be used to fund a tournament INDEFINITELY.

The principle is compound interest, or more specifically, Annuities.

The professor gave us an example. If Person A wanted to start a new college scholarship of $1,000 per year, how much would he have to invest upfront? What interest would the investment need to grow at? The goal is for the scholarship to be never-ending, or infinite in years.

In a simple example, Person A can invest $10,000 right now, at an annual interest rate of 10%. If he does this, he can pay out the scholarship amount of $1,000 PER year, EVERY year, FOREVER.

Here is how this works:
The person invested $10,000 up front. He got an interest rate of 10%. 10% of $10,000 is $1,000. At the end of the first year, the money in the account was $10,000 + $1,000 = $11,000. He then withdrawals $1,000 for the scholarship, and the account is back to $10,000. This cycle repeats for infinity, as long as the interest rate stays at 10%.


For an example annuity calculator, go to this site:

http://www.moneychimp.com/calculator/annuity_calculator.htm

You can play around with the numbers, to get an idea given a yearly withdrawal amount, what interest rate and what initial investemnt is needed. Set the withdrawal years to 1000, to simulate infinity.

This is how many scholarship funds are set up, as well as public works projects like roads, buildings, etc.

Where do you get 10% per year returns? That has been about the average return per year of the stock market if you trace it through its entire history.

I'm certainly no expert on this topic, maybe a finance major can chime in. I'm sure getting 10% per year is a long term average, and within certain years, it will be better or worse. But that could be accounted for by building in a factor of safety of the 3 variables: initial investment, interest earned, and withdrawal amount.

How is this relevant to pool?
Company A wants to sponsor a tournament once per year, every year, until the end of time. They want to make it a $2,000 added event. They put up today $20,000 into the stock market. In exactly 1 year, they withdrawal $2,000 to use as "added money" to their yearly tournament.

Yes, the upfront costs are a bit high in this scenario for most pool sponsors. But you have to realize the money will last indefinitely, so the tournament would occur every year.

This is not a pipe dream, this is an economic principle based on compound interest, that the whole world operates on.

The other advantage to something like this is if it were advertised by the sponsors what they are doing, the players would be positive the money was really there, not the BS we have seen from promoter after promoter in the past 20 years.

To my knowledge, no investment principles have been used in pool. Its always been a fly by night operation of funding tournaments with entry fees the day of the event, ticket seat sales the day of the event, added money by the room based on how many hot dogs he sells, etc. Its never been planned out ahead of time like this.

What are your thoughts on this?

what is most striking to me is that a guy with the name

"""I_USED_TO_BE_RICH"""

came up with this business plan!!!!

all the best and i hope to see a new poster with the name "iamrichagain" real soon,
smokey
 
Thank you to all comments thus far.

Guys, the big picture here is the investment strategy. Sure, 10% might be tough to achieve. And I don't know all the ins and outs of tournaments to know their true costs. Its just an example.

I've put my money where my mouth is regarding my personal investments. I've been in the stock market since I was 16, with summer grass cutting money, via custodial accounts. I've gone from rich at age 21, to broke at age 24, to well off again at age 31. Its because I believe in the long term investment strategies, and I'm still young, so I have time to ride the ups and downs of the market.

Take even our once a year sending a player to the US Open via AZ Player donations. If we raised money continuously for a few years, without sending a player, the money would eventually accumulate to about 10k in a few years. At that point, we could send a player once per year every year, without raising further money.

You have to think long term. Seriously, if we raised 2k per year, for 10 years on AZ, in 40 yrs, it would be worth 1 million. This is the typical IRA investment strategy we are taught in High School. This million could then fund a 100k tournament once per year.

Also regarding "safe" investments:
1. This is long term stuff, so more aggressive investments (pure stock market) is suitable.
2. We are all gamblers and have all gone broke playing the game at one point or another. I don't think its a stretch for a group of pool players to invest in the straight up stock market, as opposed to "safe" investments such as CD's or bonds.
3. The long term averages of the stock market are 7% according to the link from TSW.


Think if the Galveston guys, or even KT, had taken their million or whatever they put into their events, and used this strategy instead. In a few years time, we could have had a bigger fund, that we could then withdrawal from yearly for a "reasonable" money added event.
 
I think the beer sales will take it right over the top. Excellent plan iused, let's run with it. :thumbup:
 
This is my long running powerball dream...
Snap off 250M and then put 50M into an annuity at 5% and get 2.5M tournament going for the next century. 100k monthly events, 1.4M season ending event.

Now I just got to stop being such a nit and spend that $1 on a ticket.
 
This is how endowments work, and over the years it has paid for tons of research and scholarships that have brought much development to the world. I'm not as optimistic about it flying in the pool world.

Where is the leadership that would oversee the investment? If such leadership were found, could it afford to retain the financial and legal professionals needed to properly administer the investment? Does the pool world have the backbone to deny its less trustworthy luminaries (no matter how legendary they are) any involvement with the investment's administration?

If I were a potential donor who believed that starting a pool fund was more worthwhile than giving to a university, medical research, or charity, I'd be more likely to use it for youth pool than to fund pro tournaments. Before I'd consider funding the pros, they'd need to show me a compelling plan for how they will use the fund for the improvement of pool as a sport (improvement means more than just payouts) and how they're already applying that to their current efforts.
 
Thank you to all comments thus far.

Guys, the big picture here is the investment strategy. Sure, 10% might be tough to achieve. And I don't know all the ins and outs of tournaments to know their true costs. Its just an example.

I've put my money where my mouth is regarding my personal investments. I've been in the stock market since I was 16, with summer grass cutting money, via custodial accounts. I've gone from rich at age 21, to broke at age 24, to well off again at age 31. Its because I believe in the long term investment strategies, and I'm still young, so I have time to ride the ups and downs of the market.

Take even our once a year sending a player to the US Open via AZ Player donations. If we raised money continuously for a few years, without sending a player, the money would eventually accumulate to about 10k in a few years. At that point, we could send a player once per year every year, without raising further money.

You have to think long term. Seriously, if we raised 2k per year, for 10 years on AZ, in 40 yrs, it would be worth 1 million. This is the typical IRA investment strategy we are taught in High School. This million could then fund a 100k tournament once per year.

Also regarding "safe" investments:
1. This is long term stuff, so more aggressive investments (pure stock market) is suitable.
2. We are all gamblers and have all gone broke playing the game at one point or another. I don't think its a stretch for a group of pool players to invest in the straight up stock market, as opposed to "safe" investments such as CD's or bonds.
3. The long term averages of the stock market are 7% according to the link from TSW.


Think if the Galveston guys, or even KT, had taken their million or whatever they put into their events, and used this strategy instead. In a few years time, we could have had a bigger fund, that we could then withdrawal from yearly for a "reasonable" money added event.

There are a few knowledgeable repsonses to the original poster, in this thread already.

I'm sorry, but this idea, as you laid out may sound like it could work, in theory, but will fall on it's face in reality. You've focused on the potential return, without addressing any of the risks or risk management. The idea is to derive income from a principle amount. As such, the primary objective should be to protect the principle and the secondary objective is to see what kind of risk adjusted return you can get for your money. If your principle erodes, then the cash flow will be affected as well. Also, as someone pointed out, compounded interest has nothing to do with the idea you discussed.

In plain English, this is waht happens in reality:

A long only portfolio of equities does not go up every year. Equities can be volatile. Over the long term, you can average, say, 10%, but that is only good if you can stay fully invested over that whole period. Here's where the problem comes in; market cycles. What happens if you run into a deep recession, like the last 2 years? Your assets will decline in value and you will still need to pull the same set amount out of the portfolio every year, further decreasing the portfolio. This leaves you with much less principle and earning potential to "recover" the losses.

Long story short, a long only, equities only portfolio is disaster in waiting. That idea is naivete, and inexperience talking.


Eric
 
I think it could work if a very savy investor was in charge of handling the principle, constantly buying and selling when its right to do so. I am personally looking at investing in penny stocks at the moment.
 
There are a few knowledgeable repsonses to the original poster, in this thread already.

I'm sorry, but this idea, as you laid out may sound like it could work, in theory, but will fall on it's face in reality. You've focused on the potential return, without addressing any of the risks or risk management. The idea is to derive income from a principle amount. As such, the primary objective should be to protect the principle and the secondary objective is to see what kind of risk adjusted return you can get for your money. If your principle erodes, then the cash flow will be affected as well. Also, as someone pointed out, compounded interest has nothing to do with the idea you discussed.

In plain English, this is waht happens in reality:

A long only portfolio of equities does not go up every year. Equities can be volatile. Over the long term, you can average, say, 10%, but that is only good if you can stay fully invested over that whole period. Here's where the problem comes in; market cycles. What happens if you run into a deep recession, like the last 2 years? Your assets will decline in value and you will still need to pull the same set amount out of the portfolio every year, further decreasing the portfolio. This leaves you with much less principle and earning potential to "recover" the losses.

Long story short, a long only, equities only portfolio is disaster in waiting. That idea is naivete, and inexperience talking.


Eric

This is correct. The original poster is conflating long-term investing (and the related compounding) with income investing. There's a world of difference between investing money now that you won't need for 20 years versus investing money now and pulling out a fixed dollar amount every year. In the long run the equity markets have out-performed every other major asset class, but the price of that out-performance is increased volatility.

Here's a chart of the nominal moves in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, 1900 - 2006. We had several periods of 10-15 years wherein the stock market was basically flat, in nominal terms. One of those periods would destroy this sort of equity-income strategy.

http://lh6.ggpht.com/_K1d8U9JYBV8/SAtjg3dbQDI/AAAAAAAAAEE/r4UTdktXCKQ/Dow+Jones+(1900+to+2006).png
 
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