Who's in the field?
Hohmann is always the one to beat in 14.1, but Schmidt, Engert and, if he's playing, Feijen are all major threats to win. Souquet, Immonen, and Harriman would also seem capable of snapping this off if they play at their highest levels.
The format, assuming it's the same as a year ago, in which all matches involving the last sixteen are races to 200, minimizes the chance of a cinderella story. Just ask Allen Hopkins, whose play was impeccable a year ago, at least until Engert sat him down for well over an hour in the electric chair in the quarterfinals. In a race to 200, the big guns usually get around to a big run.
My pick is Thorsten, though I think it's far less obvious than a year ago.
Bobby Hunter and Allen Hopkins are my dark horses.
I'll cheer hardest for Barouty and Robles, of course, and all my hometown heroes.