How Would You Play This? 4/1/10

I'd hit the 5 into the 8 and leave the 8 in front of the side pocket with your opponents 3 and 5 stuck on the rails with the 12 and 8 blocking the outs. Your giving up BIH, but it would be tough for your opponent to get out.

I also think this is the best approach. By gently bumping the 5 into the 8 thus leaving the 8 near the side pocket, you're putting a lot of pressure on your opponent to get out even with BIH.
 
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Duh!

12 in corner , suck it down the rail to break 8 out. Cross your fingers for a leave. No leave, duck.
 
Get "south" of the eight

Can you pocket the twelve with either low right to draw "south" of the eight, or top left to go three rails and get "south" of the eight. Then, just push the eight into the rail for a safe?????
 
From what I can see I would aim fat on the 12, almost straight on it, one tip right and one tip low and hit it hard. I would throw the 12 into the hole and the cueball would come back and slightly right - the spin would take into the rail and assist the cue ball speed backward, busting the cluster. Draw alone would not do it. The main thing is to hit the 12 as full as possible.

Chris

I just tried the shot - it's definitely do-able but it's difficult to hit it with enough speed to clear the 8 out. The 12 has to be thrown in for the cue ball to get on the right path. I did it three times and got one difficult cut shot on the 8. A couple times I tried it again - difficult but definitely a possibility. In fact, thowing the 12 in, a couple of times I drew past the cluster without even touching a rail. It seems impossible but it just depends on whether you hit the 12 full enough.

Chris
 
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No, I disagree. If you did this to me, I would take ball in hand and do one of two things, depending on just how the 3 and 5 were sitting. I would either shoot one of those two balls into the 12 to clear that pocket for me, while sticking you behind my other ball, or, I would manuever those two balls to be able to do what I just described and stick you kicking at the 12.

Once the 12 is moved, opening that pocket to the 3 and the 5, the runout is just a basic runout. No problems.

This is part of why I would want the 12 moved to the middle of the table before you try and break them out. It cuts down on your options and makes it a little harder to safe me.

I'm inclined to agree with you that repositioning the 12 to the middle of the table is the better strategy.
 
I would leave the 12 where I can't be easily snookered. Looks like a defensive struggle to me.
 
I would play safe by cross banking the 12 to leave it in front of the corner. While sending the cb into the cluster pushing the 8 in front of the side and the 3 and 5 on the long rail.
 
I'm wondering what Jude did?? And, what was the outcome of the game?

He tried cross banking the 12 to pocket it and breaking the cluster, then got locked up on the 8 and lost. At least he went for it.

Chris
 
Aah, I see it now, somehow I missed that post???:o:o I have to say, I'm surprised the dbl kiss wasn't there.

Hah - I think he drew a crappy WEI table on that shot - the 12 was probably a little closer to the cushion and further from the corner. He used right but you would need more room than what's showing.

Chris
 

CueTable Help



I would try to lay the 12 up near the hole and hope that my opponent would try for a run out instead of breaking his 5/3 out. My opponent has to break out the 5/3 in order to have a chance to win. If he ever gives me a shot while he is breaking the 5/3 out or trying to run out all of the balls, the 12 would be in a position to be made and easy break out shape on the 5/3/8.

Getting the 12 out to the middle of the table where you can break out the 8 if you ever get a shot wouldn't be so bad but it you're playing me, I'm going to loosen up the 5/3 and get cue ball in hand before I try a run out on the solids.

JoeyA
 
I mean, I hear what you're saying but to put another way, if you were solids, do you REALLY think you have even a remote chance at losing if you get back to the table? I'd say, if I were stripes and you were solids, if I play safe, my chances of winning drop to 2% (at best). You're simply not going to let me see that stripe again and even if you do, you're not going to let me have a great break-out opportunity. If I'm playing you, Neil, I am definitely going to take my chances and go for the break-out now.

Tap Tap Tap :thumbup:
good example for thinkin in percentage! IN this special layout you re usualy caused to try to run out. (or you re playin against an absolute beginner). Think in percentages ..it helps :)
 
Plan B

Did anyone already suggest this? After staring at it a little more I saw it. It's a very soft controlled shot and the double kiss may need to be considered.

Basically you get the CB to hit the 3 full (hitting the 5 might work too) and just control the speed so that it only rearranges things by a few inches. The 8 hangs out in front of the hole but with luck at least the 3 (and maybe the 5 also) stay in a really awkward spot where they are heavily covered by the 8 and don't really go in either corner. Hopefully you can hand your 12 near the pocket. It's his tough runout vs. your 2 ducks.

CueTable Help

 
Remote chance? Sure is. I've seen it happen too many times. A number of times, when you break out balls, you won't have a shot on anything! It may not be high odds, but it does happen.

The way I see it, while I do feel the draw back off the 12 is very possible, I also believe that most people can not get that kind of draw. And, if you do get the breakout from there, there is a very good chance that you won't be able to even see the 8. You do have to make a very good shot, and get a little lucky on it.

Now, if you take off the twelve now, and don't get the breakout, he has to screw up REALLY bad for you to win. With the 12 still on the table, the chances are raised somewhat in your favor of having a chance to win. You are still the favorite to lose this game, but I like increasing my chances when I can. I don't believe taking the 12 out now does that. Trying to bank it cross corner for the breakout, while possible, I think is very low odds. I agree that the double kiss is very large on that shot.

Any way you look at it, you are in a pickle here, and a few things have to go your way to win this one.

edit: O.k. Jude, assume you go for the breakout now, but you miss the breakout. What are you going to do now? Now, all you have is the 8 on the table. It is not makeable anywhere right now. Even you just skimming it, you rearrange the 3-5-8 to where he probably will now have a runout opportunity. If you move that 5 to where it is makeable in either corner, you are done for.

If you are down to one ball and your opponent has five or six balls on the table, if there is a chance to win on your inning, you need to go for it. Against a good player, trying to play safe in this situation is a guaranteed loss.
 
If you are down to one ball and your opponent has five or six balls on the table, if there is a chance to win on your inning, you need to go for it. Against a good player, trying to play safe in this situation is a guaranteed loss.

Not so. IMO If you call safe, then pocket the 12, leaving the cue ball on the end rail near the middle diamond; you are almost guaranteed another inning. Depending on the thought process of your opponent, he might take a flyer at the 1 in the side with a breakout for the cluster. Its low percentage for almost anybody. If he wants to play safe off the 1, he has to hit it up and down the table using at least 1 rail, maybe 2 depending on how thick he hits the 1. At that point you have a one rail kick safe on the 8. If he wants to bump the 3 to the rail and lock you up from the 8, pocket the 1 and leave him the 6 to try and break up the cluster with bih.
The 8 should have been moved earlier, but it is what it is. You have to know how your opponent thinks, and what they will go for. Its like pushing out in 9 ball, leave them a 50-50% or less shot, hoping they will go for it. If they dont, reevaluate the table at that point and go from there.
Chuck
 
safe ,schmafe

Not so. IMO If you call safe, then pocket the 12, leaving the cue ball on the end rail near the middle diamond; you are almost guaranteed another inning. Depending on the thought process of your opponent, he might take a flyer at the 1 in the side with a breakout for the cluster. Its low percentage for almost anybody. If he wants to play safe off the 1, he has to hit it up and down the table using at least 1 rail, maybe 2 depending on how thick he hits the 1. At that point you have a one rail kick safe on the 8. If he wants to bump the 3 to the rail and lock you up from the 8, pocket the 1 and leave him the 6 to try and break up the cluster with bih.
The 8 should have been moved earlier, but it is what it is. You have to know how your opponent thinks, and what they will go for. Its like pushing out in 9 ball, leave them a 50-50% or less shot, hoping they will go for it. If they dont, reevaluate the table at that point and go from there.
Chuck

Sorry,IMNSHO, gotta agree with cuetechsaurus. If you call safe and make 12 , or if you do anything to give up ball in hand you will never see the light of day again. I'd hide that cue ball better than Jimmy Hoffa's body.
 
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