Neil-
 
I think you need to get lucky.
I like pushing the 2 onto the 1 to slow things down. Have to hope it doesn't line up for a combo.  As stated, depending on the opponent skill level, he likely takes BIH, thins the 1 and hides you uptable-now you are on two fouls.
Since the odds lay bad-I think I would take a flyer.  Try to hit the one and put it up on the two.  You could get lucky with a masse or a hard low left draw to the bottom long cushion and miss the 4, but fairly unpredictable.  
I think I would send the cb 4 rails(LR, SR,LR, LR) starting just below your side of the side pocket of the first long rail, try to come off the last long rail near the first diamond (like a 1P escape), push the one softly to the 2/rail, and hope for a better shot. Missing the 3 looks iffy, though.
I don't like the odds on any of them really, but that's probably what I would shoot in that bad situation, and hope to get lucky and hit it good.