I think we are underestimating the top pros (SVB, Archer, Corey), and overestimating the amateurs.
Not the original question, but they could give an A player the 5 out and the breaks on a 9 footer, and I'd bet on them all day long. Bustamente gave a top open player in my area the 5 and breaks and beat him. I've heard of Santos giving all the top guys in NY (Hernandez) ridiculous weight and beating them.
On a 7 footer, I think a B will not win with the 7 and breaks. It would take an A player to win.
I actually think we as a community make the game all about the break, and figure if a player makes a ball on the break, he is going to win. If we had good statistics on this, and maybe we do somewhere, I hypothesize that it would be shown that LOTS of games are lost after the break on poor position control. A "B" player is going to mess up LOTS of position shots, even on a bar box.
The only statistic I remember hearing about the break is when Pat Flemming was doing the accu-stats (before videos), he actually discovered during PRO events the breaking player was more likely to lose the game they just broke rather than win it. Just food for thought on everyone putting all the emphasis on the break, and not the position play and other skill sets of the game.
How on earth is every mistake going to cost you more than one rack, if you've got the breaks???
Like most have said, it's going to depend on how well you break and whether or not you can control the rock.
Jaden
i already responded to that
I think we are underestimating the top pros (SVB, Archer, Corey), and overestimating the amateurs.
Not the original question, but they could give an A player the 5 out and the breaks on a 9 footer, and I'd bet on them all day long. Bustamente gave a top open player in my area the 5 and breaks and beat him. I've heard of Santos giving all the top guys in NY (Hernandez) ridiculous weight and beating them.
On a 7 footer, I think a B will not win with the 7 and breaks. It would take an A player to win.
I actually think we as a community make the game all about the break, and figure if a player makes a ball on the break, he is going to win. If we had good statistics on this, and maybe we do somewhere, I hypothesize that it would be shown that LOTS of games are lost after the break on poor position control. A "B" player is going to mess up LOTS of position shots, even on a bar box.
The only statistic I remember hearing about the break is when Pat Flemming was doing the accu-stats (before videos), he actually discovered during PRO events the breaking player was more likely to lose the game they just broke rather than win it. Just food for thought on everyone putting all the emphasis on the break, and not the position play and other skill sets of the game.
i think accu stats said that the breaker loses 60% of the time. i think i heard that once before
Bar box would be different, but I would like to think the person who makes a ball, and has control of the table would have the 60%. Also, breaks have become much more controlled, or manipulated, much more than days of old.
whups i completely forgot about that. i'm still thinking it's a bad game. i think i play decent bar box 9 ball (so far the most racks i've run on a valley is 7) and i wouldn't take that game for my dough
This looks like a no brainer on a 7' Valley to me. OK which healthy "B+" player on here is going to step up and challenge SVB or someone close to his speed getting the 7 and the breaks? Johnnyt
There's more to it than just that though. The breaker HAS to make a ball on the break more often than not. Then, he just has to be able to play a decent safe, he doesn't have to run out. Ever try and get safe on purpose from a kick on a bar table? It is low percentage. Which means, most of the time you have to kick at a ball, you will lose the game on a bar table. 9' table is a totaly different story.
There's more to it than just that though. The breaker HAS to make a ball on the break more often than not. Then, he just has to be able to play a decent safe, he doesn't have to run out. Ever try and get safe on purpose from a kick on a bar table? It is low percentage. Which means, most of the time you have to kick at a ball, you will lose the game on a bar table. 9' table is a totaly different story.
Even B players can make shots on a bar table that pros would play safe with on a 9' table. Basically, if it can be cut or banked, figure it is in the hole. The shorter distance really makes a difference. And, if you are on a Valley table, the pockets are about 5" and take almost anything near them. You can miss by a diamond and a half, and still have a chance of making it on a ball shot down the rail. Once the ball is between the points, 99.5% will fall in. Very seldom can you rattle a ball on a Valley table.